• Thirty-One Percent and a Map

    Tomorrow Americans vote. The president sits at 31 percent approval. He spent his final Sunday not in a swing state but in Kansas, a state that hasn’t elected a Democratic senator since 1932, because Kansas is a toss-up now. Kansas. The man who won it by 16 points two years ago flew back to beg.

    His party’s candidates are doing something impressive: standing close enough to Trump to inherit his voters, far enough to pretend they have spines. Ashley Hinson in Iowa promised she’d “push back” on the president while sharing his stage. The push-back lasted until the applause died down.

    Democrats lead by eight points nationally. Models give them the House at 95 percent odds. None of that matters if you don’t show up tomorrow. Thirty-one percent of the country still thinks this is working. The other sixty-nine has a job to do.

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    A Gift at Thirty Dollars a Barrel
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